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Setting the threshold of food security for the supply of the population in times of crisis and threat

Project No.: MV-75251-4/OBV-2010
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Sponsor:

Ministry of Interior

Duration:

1.11.2010 - 31.3.2013

Leader:

Ing. Olga Štiková

Investigators:

Ing. Ilona Mrhálková, Ing. Helena Sekavová, RNDr. Ivan Foltýn, CSc., Ing. Ida Zedníčková, JUDr. Ing. Josef Mezera, CSc., Ing. Martin Plášil, Ph.D.

Technical cooperation:

bBc. Michala Míčová, Dana Šmejkalová

Annotation:

Navrhovaný projekt vymezí práh potravinové bezpečnosti a nabídne možnosti řešení krizových situací a ohrožení v agrárně-potravinářském sektoru. Na základě originálních matematických modelů stanoví potřebný objem potravin nezbytných pro zajištění minimálních požadavků na výživu. Dále bude stanoven minimální rozměr zemědělství (plochy, stavy zvířat) a potravinářských kapacit, který umožní zajistit výživu obyvatelstva v krizových situacích

Timetable in 2010:

In November and December data collection was conducted for the construction of the recommended dietary allowances for the average population. Depending on the layout of the recommended dietary allowances for each population and age groups were determined in the population of the Czech Republic in different groups of population by age, sex and physiological status and population, the number of the group. On the basis of these data will be possible to calculate the Czech Republic population structure by age and sex, which is one of the initial data for calculating the recommended dietary allowances for the average inhabitant.

Timetable in 2011:

The main objective of the project in a given year is needed to quantify the amount of food needed to provide minimum coverage necessary nutritional requirements for feeding the Czech population in any kind of threat. Recommended dietary allowances (RDA) are calculated for the average inhabitant on the basis of the minimum (RDA) established for each population and age groups and age structure. RDA for the average people will be optimized using an optimization model of NUTRITION-1. The result of the amount of food will be required for maintaining minimum nutritional requirements. Optimization model of NUTRITION-1 requires the collection and preparation of the following data: range and volume of food (consumption levels), their composition (nutritional value), average consumer prices of food. Based on these calculations will outline the "crisis scenarios" to deal with to ensure a minimum supply of food. The results of the calculations will be evaluated at the end of the interim annual report.

Timetable in 2012:

In the next period of the project the mathematical model (ZEPOS-1) will be created. This model will transform a necessary volume of food needed for the provision of minimum requirements for human nutrition to the need of raw materials (agricultural commodities) and the adequate capacities of the food industry. The minimum size of agriculture (crop lands, head numbers of animals) and the adequate capacities of the food industry will be determined which will enable to eliminate the negative impacts of crisis situations.

Timetable in 2013:

The final report summarizing the methodology and results of the project for the years 2010-2012 will be elaborated. The certified methodology as the main result of the project will also be presented. The aim of the methodology is to determine the minimum amount of nutrition that is not threatening human health. This amount of nutrition is subsequently transformed into food and agricultural production on the basis of newly created optimization models.